数字经济对绍兴纺织产业升级影响的实证分析

doi:10.19398/j.att.202102014

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

以2005—2019年绍兴地级市数据为研究对象,实证考察了数字经济对纺织产业升级的影响。结果发现,从行业整体上看,数字经济对纺织产业升级具有显著正向促进作用;从细分行业看,数字经济对化学纤维制造业和纺织业正向促进作用显著优于服装业、皮革和制鞋业。此外,经济发展水平对纺织产业升级具有显著正向促进作用,人力资本和政策环境则呈现负向抑制作用,而外商直接投资对纺织产业升级的影响整体上不显著。最后基于研究结论,提出了相应的政策建议。

关键词: 数字经济, 纺织产业, 产业升级, 影响, 行业异质性

Abstract:

Taking the data of Shaoxing prefecture-level cities from 2005 to 2019 as the object of research, this paper is focused on an empirical analysis of the impact of the digital economy on the upgrading of Shaoxing textile industry. As shown in the results, in view of the overall industry, the digital economy has a significant and positive impact on promoting the upgrading of the textile industry; in view of the industry segmentation, its positive promoting effect on chemical fiber manufacturing industry and textile industry is more significant than that on clothing industry, leather industry and footwear industry. In addition, the level of economic development can significantly and positively facilitate the upgrading of the textile industry, while human capital and policy environment exhibit a negative inhibiting effect, and foreign direct investment has no significant impact on the upgrading of the textile industry on the whole. Finally, this paper proposes corresponding policy recommendations based on the research conclusions.

Key words: digital economy, textile industry, industrial upgrading, impact, industry heterogeneity

中图分类号:

F49
F427

王瑞荣. 数字经济对绍兴纺织产业升级影响的实证分析[J]. 现代纺织技术, 2022, 30(2): 118-126.

WANG Ruirong. Empirical analysis of the impact of digital economy on the upgrading of shaoxing textile industry[J]. Advanced Textile Technology, 2022, 30(2): 118-126.

图/表 9

参考文献 16

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主指标	二级指标	权重	三级指标	权重	指标单位	指标属性
数字经济综合指数	数字基础设施指数	0.1937	互联网普及率	0.0623	%	正向
			固定电话交换机容量	0.0819	万户	正向
			移动电话交换机容量	0.0495	万户	正向
	数字业务规模指数	0.7422	电信业务收入	0.0074	万元	正向
			函件总数	0.0779	万件	正向
			包件	0.6569	万件	正向
	数字产业发展指数	0.0641	通信设备制造业主营业务收入	0.0322	万元	正向
	数字产业发展指数	0.0641	通信设备制造业工业总产值	0.0319	万元	正向

主指标	二级指标	权重	三级指标	权重	指标单位	指标属性
数字经济综合指数	数字基础设施指数	0.1937	互联网普及率	0.0623	%	正向
			固定电话交换机容量	0.0819	万户	正向
			移动电话交换机容量	0.0495	万户	正向
	数字业务规模指数	0.7422	电信业务收入	0.0074	万元	正向
			函件总数	0.0779	万件	正向
			包件	0.6569	万件	正向
	数字产业发展指数	0.0641	通信设备制造业主营业务收入	0.0322	万元	正向
	数字产业发展指数	0.0641	通信设备制造业工业总产值	0.0319	万元	正向

年份	数字经济发展综合指数	数字基础设施指数	数字业务规模指数	数字产业发展指数
2005	1.0000	1.0000	1.0000	1.0000
2006	1.1513	1.1316	1.0159	1.1614
2007	1.6825	1.3331	1.0062	1.8375
2008	1.9723	1.4639	0.8231	2.1831
2009	2.6857	1.6866	0.7634	3.1277
2010	2.8926	2.1081	0.8082	3.3432
2011	3.0270	2.3670	0.8756	3.4583
2012	3.4636	2.5288	0.8845	3.9372
2013	3.6971	2.6950	0.9463	4.3059
2014	3.2465	2.8057	0.7972	3.6301
2015	3.8345	2.8835	4.9215	4.4139
2016	4.0160	2.9657	21.2830	4.7391
2017	3.0205	3.1277	58.7154	3.3151
2018	3.6587	3.4643	93.1896	4.1965
2019	4.3136	3.4498	207.6901	5.0397

年份	数字经济发展综合指数	数字基础设施指数	数字业务规模指数	数字产业发展指数
2005	1.0000	1.0000	1.0000	1.0000
2006	1.1513	1.1316	1.0159	1.1614
2007	1.6825	1.3331	1.0062	1.8375
2008	1.9723	1.4639	0.8231	2.1831
2009	2.6857	1.6866	0.7634	3.1277
2010	2.8926	2.1081	0.8082	3.3432
2011	3.0270	2.3670	0.8756	3.4583
2012	3.4636	2.5288	0.8845	3.9372
2013	3.6971	2.6950	0.9463	4.3059
2014	3.2465	2.8057	0.7972	3.6301
2015	3.8345	2.8835	4.9215	4.4139
2016	4.0160	2.9657	21.2830	4.7391
2017	3.0205	3.1277	58.7154	3.3151
2018	3.6587	3.4643	93.1896	4.1965
2019	4.3136	3.4498	207.6901	5.0397

变量	均值	最大值	最小值	标准差	观测值
TIU	12.5393	14.9582	8.0538	1.9172	75
DED	2.9108	4.3136	1.0000	1.0017	75
EDL	1.9786	2.4482	1.2278	0.3983	75
HCL	0.0265	0.0300	0.0241	0.0019	75
FDI	0.0220	0.0505	0.0078	0.0131	75
PE	0.0752	0.1027	0.0547	0.0150	75